Fiorentina vs Parma Match preview

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Fiorentina vs Parma, 11.05.2008 at 15:00

Italian Serie A: Fiorentina vs Parma

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Fiorentina vs Parma betting odds

Bookie 1 X 2 <2.5 >2.5
Expekt 1.85 3.40 4.35 0.00 0.00
Gamebookers 1.80 3.40 4.25 2.00 1.75
Bet365 1.80 3.40 4.50 2.10 1.80
MyBet 1.70 3.50 4.55 0.00 0.00
PinnacleSports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

This week Italian Serie A matches

Sunday, 11.05.2008
Reggina - Empoli 15:00
Fiorentina - Parma 15:00
Udinese - Cagliari 15:00
Juventus - Catania 15:00
Inter - Siena 15:00
Napoli - AC Milan 15:00
Palermo - Sampdoria 15:00
Genoa - Lazio 15:00
Roma - Atalanta 15:00
Livorno - Torino 15:00

The tables have so turned around for Fiorentina in the finish of the season, they have spent almost eight months on Champions League place just to step back in the very end. Defeat in Cagliari, fifth consecutive, away means they have given up 4th place to Milan and that nothing depends on them now. Viola are also ruled out of the UEFA Cup by Rangers after penalty shoot-out and they can only hope for Milan to drop a point or few in the last 180 minutes of the season. Fiorentina are hosting Parma without the suspended Mutu, which is only an additional handicap for them, the Romanian lost his temper at Sant’Elia andgot rightfully sent off. Parma beat unmotivated Genoa thus prolonging the hope. The Ducali won thanks to a goal by Cristiano Lucarelli who was the worst player on the turf until the 60th minute and his goal. But now, he turned to be a hero. Emiliani had even nine suspended and injured players but they have now managed to end the game with all the 11 players, miraculously. Parma are the most undisciplined team in Serie A with 10 red cards. As we have mentioned, the fact that guests were unmotivated was crucial for the wounded Cuper’s team to collect three points.

Viola with only a point in the last two games

We think that Fiorentina had paid the greater price for a home draw with Samp than the defeat at Cagliari. They didn’t play well but they turned the result over and been on the verge of winning the game. The goal they have conceded in the finish of the take took the two points away allowing Milan to come closer. Fiorentina are like a squeezed lemon, they have played many games, they are without enough alternatives and it appears Prandelli made a mistake by not sacrificing UEFA Cup and letting it go. Of course, it is easy to preach and be the general after the battle is over, but it was pretty obvious over the past two months that the team only managed to beat the weaker teams at home thanks to the individual quality while they were desperate away. They did have a tough schedule though, but, none the less, it is not the same Fiorentina from the first part of the season, the same Fiorentina that had defeated Juve in the middle of Torino. They are left with the tiny hope that Milan can now lose points to Napoli and Udinese.

Along with Catania, Parma are the worst guest side in the league

These are also the only two teams without a single away win. Parma marked seven draws, there is a slight progress since Cuper replaced Di Carlo, but draws with Empoli and Siena are not enough to get away from the relegation zone. Emiliani have difficulties with scoring away which is reasonable since they are playing to tight. Despite winning over Genoa, they are still in the hot zone. After the game in Firenze, they are to host Inter in the last round. Cuper hopes for neroazzuri to beat Siena and win the title, so that he could get a discount. If they lose in Firenze, even with that discount Parma have slim chances. Only a look at the standings is enough, Catania will also host the uninterested Roma while the other two Serie A candidates, Reggina and Torino, will probably get out of the zone after this round. In other words, possible loss at Franchi could mean the final step towards the abyss for Parma.

Betting verdict

Fiorentina will be without Mutu who is the engine of the team and this will be a great handicap for Viola. On the other side, Cuper is with a lot better situation regarding the squad than he had two weeks ago, so his team is not without chances in Firenze. Reginaldo is on lethal form, he wants to prove himself against his former club. As the media say, dating the beautiful Elisabeth Canalis, Bobo Vieri’s ex-fiancée, has reborn the excellent Brazilian. But really, although Fiorentina are the better side, we have the feeling that Parma will not lose the game. Bookies feel the same way because the odds on home win are 1.80 which is a lot judging by the standings. Double chance on Parma is our choice…

Team news : Mutu and Pasqual are suspended for Fiorentina, Vieri and Dainelli will also miss game for hosts. Parma has Couto still suspended, Budan, Morfeo, Pisanu and Corradi are longer period injury casualties.

Our tip: Bet 5 on Parma not to lose
Odds 1.94 at
Bookmaker: Gamebookers

Fiorentina vs Parma head to head stats:

Last 5 Fiorentina matches:
04.05.2008ITA 1Cagliari-Fiorentina2:1
01.05.2008UEFAFiorentina-Rangers0:0
27.04.2008ITA 1Fiorentina-Sampdoria2:2
24.04.2008UEFARangers-Fiorentina0:0
19.04.2008ITA 1Fiorentina-Palermo1:0
Last 5 Parma matches:
04.05.2008ITA 1Parma - Genoa1:0
27.04.2008ITA 1Reggina - Parma2:1
20.04.2008ITA 1Parma - Napoli1:2
16.04.2008ITA 1Juventus - Parma3:0
13.04.2008ITA 1Empoli - Parma1:1
Last 5 Fiorentina home matches:
01.05.2008UEFAFiorentina-Rangers0:0
27.04.2008ITA 1Fiorentina-Sampdoria2:2
19.04.2008ITA 1Fiorentina-Palermo1:0
06.04.2008ITA 1Fiorentina-Reggina2:0
03.04.2008UEFAFiorentina-PSV1:1
Last 5 Parma away matches:
27.04.2008ITA 1Reggina - Parma2:1
16.04.2008ITA 1Juventus - Parma3:0
13.04.2008ITA 1Empoli - Parma1:1
22.03.2008ITA 1Siena - Parma2:0
16.03.2008ITA 1Livorno - Parma1:1
Fiorentina vs Parma head to head stats:
2006/2007ITA 1Fiorentina - Parma1:0
2005/2006ITA 1Fiorentina - Parma4:1
2004/2005ITA CUPFiorentina - Parma2:0
2004/2005ITA 1Fiorentina - Parma2:1
2001/2002ITA 1Fiorentina - Parma1:2
2000/2001ITA 1Fiorentina - Parma0:1
Parma vs Fiorentina head to head stats:
2006/2007ITA 1Parma - Fiorentina2:0
2005/2006ITA 1Parma - Fiorentina2:4
2004/2005ITA CUPParma - Fiorentina0:3
2004/2005ITA 1Parma - Fiorentina0:0
2001/2002ITA 1Parma - Fiorentina2:0
2000/2001ITA 1Parma - Fiorentina2:2
This Season Fiorentina vs Parma head to head stats:
13.01.2008ITA 1Parma - Fiorentina1:2

Italian Serie A Overall Standings

CL
CLQ
UEFA
RELEG
Team M W D L GS GC +/- P
1 Inter 37 24 10 3 67 26 41 82
2 Roma 37 24 9 4 71 36 35 81
3 Juventus 37 20 11 6 69 34 35 71
4 Fiorentina 37 18 9 10 54 39 15 63
5 AC Milan 37 17 10 10 62 37 25 61
6 Sampdoria 37 17 8 12 53 43 10 59
7 Udinese 37 16 9 12 47 49 -2 57
8 Napoli 37 14 8 15 49 51 -2 50
9 Genoa 37 13 9 15 44 50 -6 48
10 Palermo 37 12 10 15 45 55 -10 46
11 Atalanta 37 11 12 14 50 56 -6 45
12 Lazio 37 10 13 14 45 50 -5 43
13 Siena 37 9 16 12 38 43 -5 43
14 Cagliari 37 11 8 18 38 54 -16 41
15 Torino 37 8 16 13 36 48 -12 40
16 Reggina 37 9 12 16 35 54 -19 39
17 Catania 37 8 12 17 32 44 -12 36
18 Parma 37 7 13 17 42 60 -18 34
19 Empoli 37 8 9 20 27 51 -24 33
20 Livorno 37 6 12 19 34 58 -24 30

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