Napoli vs AC Milan Match preview

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Napoli vs AC Milan, 11.05.2008 at 15:00

Italian Serie A: Napoli vs AC Milan

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Napoli vs AC Milan betting odds

Bookie 1 X 2 <2.5 >2.5
MyBet 8.50 5.65 1.25 0.00 0.00
Bet365 8.00 5.25 1.33 0.00 0.00
Expekt 7.75 5.25 1.35 0.00 0.00
Gamebookers 7.50 4.75 1.35 2.15 1.65
PinnacleSports 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

This week Italian Serie A matches

Sunday, 11.05.2008
Reggina - Empoli 15:00
Fiorentina - Parma 15:00
Udinese - Cagliari 15:00
Juventus - Catania 15:00
Inter - Siena 15:00
Napoli - AC Milan 15:00
Palermo - Sampdoria 15:00
Genoa - Lazio 15:00
Roma - Atalanta 15:00
Livorno - Torino 15:00

Napoli - Milan

It`s another festivity of football down by Vesuvius. Napoli fans like big games even when their team play to defend the honor. Partenopeis will be host to Milan for the final game of the season. Napoli won over Juventus and Inter at San Paolo this season, proving to be an equal match for the strongest of teams and there`s no reason to believe they would go easy on Milan. Reja`s squad could benefit from the pressure Milan are under; Rossoneris took over 4th position after a win in derby of city of Milan and Fiorentina`s defeat at Sardinia. Champions League qualifications are close, but they must win last 2 games – against Napoli and also Udinese at San Sir, in the final round. Rossoneris are in good shape, they finally caught their breath, scored 11 goals in last 3 consecutive wins, led by unstoppable Pippo Inzaghi.

Napoli won 3 of last 4 games at San Paolo

Sadly for them, all games of Serie A final rounds are played at the same time, Sunday 15.00. Napoli seem impressive when playing in the evening, they won all 7 home games under lights. Reja`s squad play with much more motivation at home soil ever since they reached safety of mid-table. That`s when they won over Atalanta, Palermo and recently Fiorentina. Only solid Siena got away, but only due to Napoli`s own misses. The defeat to Bulls in Torino was expected; it`s hard to play with Intertoto Cup as their only motivation. Napoli also made few foolish mistakes at Olimpico and lost the game deservingly.

Milan seemed like an utterly different team last month

The defeat to Juventus in Torino announced Milan`s awakening. Their last games proved that qualities began to show as soon as they rested, playing just one game a week. Distinguished Seedorf, Kaka and Inzaghi led the team to Champions League. It seems that the season will be saved since Mialn would lose much by staying away from Europe elite and not only financially. The team will have to go through a general make-over; Flamini already joined from Arsenal; Zambrotta and few other good players as well as a goalkeeper are also said to arrive soon....it could be brilliant Frey from Fiorentina. It`s clear that Rossoneris have great ambitions for the following season, lo scudetto is their primary target because it`s been long since Milan were champions of Italy. Finances are no problem and it looks like a very interesting transfer window will follow.

Betting verdict

No one in Italy, as well as bookies, believes that Milan will drop the chance to remain at 4th place. That`s why odds for away win are 1.35. Rossoneris are a better team than Napoli, there`s no doubt about that, but odds for a win are too small and we don`t advise betting on Milan this time. Will Napoli let go of points in front of a crowded stadium? That`s really hard to expect and it might be better to try with goals because Rossoneris are efficient and their defense could have problems with Lavezzi and Hamsik. Over 2.5 goals is our suggestion...

Team news : Blasi and Santacroce are suspended for Napoli. Zalayeta already finished season while Rullo is also out. Oddo, Dida, Maldini, Emerson, Ronaldo are still injured for Milan and playmaker Pirlo is suspended.



Our tip: Bet 5 on Over 3.5 goals
Odds 2.5 at
Bookmaker: Gamebookers

Napoli vs AC Milan head to head stats:

Last 5 Napoli matches:
04.05.2008ITA 1Torino-Napoli2:1
27.04.2008ITA 1Napoli-Siena0:0
20.04.2008ITA 1Parma-Napoli1:2
13.04.2008ITA 1Napoli-Atalanta2:0
06.04.2008ITA 1Catania-Napoli3:0
Last 5 AC Milan matches:
04.05.2008ITA 1AC Milan - Inter2:1
27.04.2008ITA 1Livorno - AC Milan1:4
20.04.2008ITA 1AC Milan - Reggina5:1
12.04.2008ITA 1Juventus - AC Milan3:2
05.04.2008ITA 1AC Milan - Cagliari3:1
Last 5 Napoli home matches:
27.04.2008ITA 1Napoli-Siena0:0
13.04.2008ITA 1Napoli-Atalanta2:0
30.03.2008ITA 1Napoli-Palermo1:0
19.03.2008ITA 1Napoli-Fiorentina2:0
09.03.2008ITA 1Napoli-Roma0:2
Last 5 AC Milan away matches:
27.04.2008ITA 1Livorno - AC Milan1:4
12.04.2008ITA 1Juventus - AC Milan3:2
22.03.2008ITA 1Torino - AC Milan0:1
15.03.2008ITA 1Roma - AC Milan2:1
09.03.2008ITA 1Empoli - AC Milan1:3
Napoli vs AC Milan head to head stats:
2000/2001ITA 1Napoli - AC Milan0:0
AC Milan vs Napoli head to head stats:
2000/2001ITA 1AC Milan - Napoli1:0
This Season Napoli vs AC Milan head to head stats:
13.01.2008ITA 1AC Milan - Napoli5:2

Italy - Serie A Overall Standings

CL
CLQ
UEFA
RELEG
Team M W D L GS GC +/- P
1 Lazio 6 4 1 1 14 7 7 13
2 Udinese 6 4 1 1 10 3 7 13
3 Inter 6 4 1 1 9 5 4 13
4 Palermo 6 4 0 2 10 8 2 12
5 Atalanta 6 4 0 2 7 5 2 12
6 Catania 6 3 2 1 6 4 2 11
7 Napoli 6 3 2 1 8 6 2 11
8 AC Milan 6 3 1 2 8 6 2 10
9 Fiorentina 6 3 1 2 6 6 0 10
10 Genoa 6 3 0 3 9 7 2 9
11 Juventus 6 2 3 1 5 4 1 9
12 Siena 6 2 2 2 5 4 1 8
13 Lecce 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
14 Roma 6 2 1 3 8 8 0 7
15 Torino 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
16 Chievo 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5
17 Sampdoria 6 0 4 2 4 8 -4 4
18 Bologna 6 1 0 5 3 9 -6 3
19 Reggina 6 0 2 4 4 10 -6 2
20 Cagliari 6 0 1 5 1 10 -9 1

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